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Effectiveness

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Promising

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Description

Hot Spots Policing (HSP) refers to a police approach that focuses on patrolling certain micro-spaces (blocks, street corners, or squares) that disproportionately concentrate crime and display characteristics that attract criminal activity, such as a high number of potential victims, little natural surveillance, and ease of escape.
HSP is one of the approaches that has emerged in various parts of the world to help improve public safety. To a large extent, the spread of this ostensive policing strategy can be explained by its ability to deal with the intrinsic characteristic of crime related to high levels of spatial concentration. In fact, studies have shown that 50% of crimes occur between 2% and 6% of street segments in cities in developed countries, and that concentration is even higher in Latin America (on average, 50% of crimes occur in 2.5% of street segments) [1] [2].
There is a large volume of applications and evaluations carried out in the northern hemisphere and in Anglo-Saxon countries. In Latin America, however, the evidence is still incipient, although there are cases of application in countries such as Uruguay, Argentina, and Colombia.

Country of application
  • Argentina
  • Colombia
  • United States
  • United Kingdom
  • Uruguay
Evidence

A systematic review with a meta-analysis by the Campbell Collaboration identified 65 (experimental and quasi-experimental) studies that evaluated the impact of Hot Spots Policing interventions in various countries. The meta-analysis showed that, in general, the strategy contributed to crime prevention. The average effect of the intervention was small, but statistically significant, on overall crime. The intervention produced statistically significant reductions in drug-related crime, disorder, property crime, and violent crime (with a decreasing degree of impact among the crimes mentioned – higher for the former, lower for the latter) [3][4]. Based on those findings, the Crime Solutions and Crime Reduction Toolkit platforms classify this type of intervention as effective to reduce crime and violence.
Hot Spots Policing is a strategy that, according to a second review of 50 studies, has generated a 19% reduction in violent crime, a 16% reduction in property crime, and a 20% reduction in disorderly and drug-related crime without displacing crime to other areas [5].
Furthermore, a meta-analytical review has shown that, in general, there is no significant displacement of crime to other areas. On the contrary, a diffusion of the benefits of crime control to other areas is more likely [6].

Bibliography

[1] Weisburd, D. (2015). The Law of Crime Concentration and the Criminology of Place. Criminology, 53(2), 133–157. https://doi.org/10.1111/1745-9125.12070

[2] Chainey, S.P., Pezzuchi, G., Guerrero Rojas, Ramirez, J. L. H., Monteiro, J. & Valdez, E. R. (2019). Crime concentration at micro-places in Latin America. Crime Sci 8, 5. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-019-0100-5

[3] Braga, A. A., Turchan, B. S., Papachristos, A. V. & Hureau, D. M. (2019). Hot spots policing and crime reduction: An update of an ongoing systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 15(3), 289–311. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-019-09372-3

[4] Braga, A. A., Turchan, B., Papachristos, A. V. & Hureau, D. M. (2019). Hot spots policing of small geographic areas effects on crime. Campbell Systematic Reviews, 15(3), e1046. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/cl2.1046

[5] Braga, A. A. & Weisburd, D. L. (2022). Does Hot Spots Policing Have Meaningful Impacts on Crime? Findings from An Alternative Approach to Estimating Effect Sizes from Place-Based Program Evaluations. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 38(1):1-22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-020-09481-7

[6] Bowers, K. J., Johnson, S. D., Guerette, R. T., Summers & L. Poynton, S. (2011). Spatial displacement and diffusion of benefits among geographically focused policing initiatives: A meta-analytical review. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 7(4), 347–374. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11292-011-9134-8

Evaluated cases

Why might the cases evaluated have different levels of effectiveness in relation to their respective type of solution?
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Some cases were not included in the evidence bank due to deficiencies detected in the methodology of their impact evaluations.
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